Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 5.448546 6.212849 7.056286 8.057823 9.216917 10.518819 12.095627
2025-03-30 4.449796 5.447104 6.635890 8.163842 10.084943 12.432400 15.536618
2025-04-06 3.774106 4.865914 6.243257 8.121076 10.634161 13.908758 18.543472
2025-04-13 3.280344 4.409187 5.899895 8.032262 11.036309 15.165074 21.351769
2025-04-20 3.013155 4.200872 5.833842 8.271545 11.867287 17.053119 25.238658
2025-04-27 2.779365 4.001698 5.743194 8.443542 12.594235 18.846513 29.194320
2025-05-04 2.621566 3.888051 5.752802 8.748206 13.533414 21.042997 34.044065
2025-05-11 2.359831 3.589140 5.450622 8.532682 13.622760 21.899902 36.805028
2025-05-18 2.159146 3.362167 5.232362 8.418469 13.848743 22.983322 40.065344
2025-05-25 1.989670 3.167083 5.043023 8.325774 14.089693 24.102440 43.514609
2025-06-01 1.831008 2.974299 4.837823 8.181233 14.217178 25.024146 46.703086
2025-06-08 1.684468 2.788385 4.626307 8.001672 14.256636 25.779877 49.656798
2025-06-15 1.637023 2.768025 4.696653 8.333556 15.276662 28.492014 56.915428
2025-06-22 1.555883 2.681981 4.644463 8.435660 15.873448 30.462680 62.945127
2025-06-29 1.460446 2.562234 4.521036 8.390221 16.174928 31.877458 67.987127
2025-07-06 1.367622 2.439460 4.381150 8.298029 16.369648 33.090561 72.752168
2025-07-13 1.327954 2.411220 4.413688 8.545974 17.285519 35.923370 81.658581
2025-07-20 1.282136 2.367431 4.412360 8.724225 18.072061 38.568937 90.537440
2025-07-27 1.255334 2.357683 4.475432 9.040002 19.189391 42.088524 102.143066
2025-08-03 1.170581 2.228200 4.291415 8.816613 19.083330 42.782173 106.645163
2025-08-10 1.103790 2.129581 4.161835 8.698239 19.202687 44.019776 112.777698
2025-08-17 1.044409 2.041651 4.047329 8.602171 19.362902 45.373821 119.446908
2025-08-24 0.984350 1.948146 3.914241 8.452378 19.379186 46.372276 125.286208